Chinese Space Station Not Likely to Hit Canada

There has been some hype regarding the lack of communication with a Chinese space station (see related article here). By applying the free version of System ToolKit (STK), I was able to download the latest ephemeris file on the object and load it into the application. I then created a rough area around Canada and calculated access from the station to it (to give a sense of its orbital path in relation to Canada). As you can see from above, the orbital inclination of the space station barely touches the southern Canadian border. So, even if the station were to break up in the Earth’s atmosphere, its pieces would likely not impact on our soil.